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Supporting Scotland's vibrant voluntary sector

Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations

The Scottish Council for Voluntary Organisations is the membership organisation for Scotland's charities, voluntary organisations and social enterprises. Charity registered in Scotland SC003558. Registered office Mansfield Traquair Centre, 15 Mansfield Place, Edinburgh EH3 6BB.

Evidence library

Bank of England Monetary Policy Report May 2020

Coronavirus / COVID-19 Latest report from the Bank of England includes economic outlook predictions and likely scenarios in wake of COVID-19.

An illustrative scenario for the economic outlook (p12) Key predictions include

  • GDP likely to drop by 14% in 2020, but are predicted to rise again by 15% in 2021
  • Household consumption to drop by 14% in 2020, but also predicted to rise by 15% in 2021
  • Household saving ratio to rise to 17% (Annual average, based on percentage of total available household resources.)
  • Unemployment rate likely to rise from 4% in 2019 to 8% in 2020 (similar to the rate post-2008 recession) and 7% in 2021, but to then slowly drop back down again to 4% in 2021.
Last modified on 18 May 2020